Research & Analysis by David B. Cashin

Projections of Economic Well-Being for Social Security Beneficiaries in 2022 and 2062
from Social Security Bulletin, Vol. 66, No. 4 (released April 2007)
by Barbara A. Butrica, David B. Cashin, and Cori E. Uccello

This article assesses the prospects for retirement security among Social Security beneficiaries in 2022 and 2062. In absolute terms, beneficiaries in 2062 will be better off than those in 2022, at least assuming Social Security benefits scheduled under current law. Relative measures of well-being, however, suggest a decline in well-being between 2022 and 2062. Projected improvements over time would lessen, and declines would be exacerbated, if Social Security benefits are reduced according to what is payable under current-law taxes.