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Projected Effects of a Proposal to Increase the Cost-of-Living
Adjustment (COLA)
Details: Base it on the Consumer Price Index for the elderly (CPI-E)
Table user guide | Projection methodology | All options comparison | Current COLA | Related research
Characteristic | Percent of population with a— |
Percent change in Social Security benefits at the— |
|||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benefit decrease | Benefit increase |
10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | |
Total | 0% | 82% | 0% | 1% | 1% |
Sex | |||||
Female | 0% | 84% | 0% | 1% | 1% |
Male | 0% | 80% | 0% | 1% | 1% |
Race/ethnicity | |||||
Hispanic or Latino, any race | 0% | 71% | 0% | 1% | 1% |
White, non-Hispanic | 0% | 84% | 0% | 1% | 1% |
Black or African American, non-Hispanic | 0% | 81% | 0% | 1% | 1% |
All other races, non-Hispanic | 0% | 80% | 0% | 1% | 1% |
Country of birth | |||||
United States | 0% | 83% | 0% | 1% | 1% |
Other countries | 0% | 76% | 0% | 1% | 1% |
Age | |||||
60–69 | 0% | 46% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
70–79 | 0% | 99% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
80–89 | 0% | 100% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
90 or older | 0% | 100% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
Marital status | |||||
Married | 0% | 80% | 0% | 1% | 1% |
Divorced | 0% | 83% | 0% | 1% | 1% |
Widowed | 0% | 91% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
Never married | 0% | 78% | 0% | 1% | 1% |
Highest education level | |||||
Graduate | 0% | 88% | 0% | 1% | 1% |
Bachelor | 0% | 83% | 0% | 1% | 1% |
Associate | 0% | 80% | 0% | 1% | 1% |
High school | 0% | 83% | 0% | 1% | 1% |
Less than high school | 0% | 78% | 0% | 1% | 1% |
Current-law poverty status | |||||
Above poverty | 0% | 83% | 0% | 1% | 1% |
In poverty | 0% | 75% | 0% | 1% | 1% |
Current-law household income quintile | |||||
Highest | 0% | 86% | 0% | 1% | 1% |
Second highest | 0% | 81% | 0% | 1% | 1% |
Middle | 0% | 80% | 0% | 1% | 1% |
Second lowest | 0% | 82% | 0% | 1% | 1% |
Lowest | 0% | 81% | 0% | 1% | 1% |
Current-law benefit type | |||||
Retired worker only | 0% | 81% | 0% | 1% | 1% |
Widow(er) (includes dually entitled) | 0% | 92% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
Spousal (includes dually entitled) | 0% | 89% | 0% | 1% | 1% |
Disabled worker only | 0% | 56% | 0% | 1% | 1% |
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.19, Analysis 2.0. Run: 06/30/2021. Ref #: OACT0615v1 | |||||
NOTES: Start date = 2022.
%ile = percentile.
Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
|
Characteristic | Percent of population with a— |
Percent change in Social Security benefits at the— |
|||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benefit decrease | Benefit increase |
10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | |
Total | 0% | 84% | 0% | 2% | 5% |
Sex | |||||
Female | 0% | 86% | 0% | 3% | 5% |
Male | 0% | 82% | 0% | 2% | 5% |
Race/ethnicity | |||||
Hispanic or Latino, any race | 0% | 80% | 0% | 2% | 4% |
White, non-Hispanic | 0% | 85% | 0% | 3% | 5% |
Black or African American, non-Hispanic | 0% | 83% | 0% | 2% | 5% |
All other races, non-Hispanic | 0% | 87% | 0% | 2% | 5% |
Country of birth | |||||
United States | 0% | 84% | 0% | 2% | 5% |
Other countries | 0% | 86% | 0% | 2% | 5% |
Age | |||||
60–69 | 0% | 46% | 0% | 0% | 2% |
70–79 | 0% | 99% | 1% | 2% | 3% |
80–89 | 0% | 100% | 3% | 4% | 5% |
90 or older | 0% | 100% | 5% | 5% | 5% |
Marital status | |||||
Married | 0% | 82% | 0% | 2% | 5% |
Divorced | 0% | 84% | 0% | 2% | 5% |
Widowed | 0% | 95% | 1% | 4% | 5% |
Never married | 0% | 77% | 0% | 1% | 5% |
Highest education level | |||||
Graduate | 0% | 84% | 0% | 2% | 5% |
Bachelor | 0% | 89% | 0% | 3% | 5% |
Associate | 0% | 83% | 0% | 2% | 5% |
High school | 0% | 83% | 0% | 2% | 5% |
Less than high school | 0% | 78% | 0% | 2% | 5% |
Current-law poverty status | |||||
Above poverty | 0% | 84% | 0% | 2% | 5% |
In poverty | 0% | 78% | 0% | 2% | 5% |
Current-law household income quintile | |||||
Highest | 0% | 85% | 0% | 2% | 5% |
Second highest | 0% | 83% | 0% | 2% | 5% |
Middle | 0% | 82% | 0% | 2% | 5% |
Second lowest | 0% | 86% | 0% | 2% | 5% |
Lowest | 0% | 85% | 0% | 2% | 5% |
Current-law benefit type | |||||
Retired worker only | 0% | 83% | 0% | 2% | 5% |
Widow(er) (includes dually entitled) | 0% | 93% | 1% | 4% | 5% |
Spousal (includes dually entitled) | 0% | 87% | 0% | 2% | 5% |
Disabled worker only | 0% | 59% | 0% | 1% | 4% |
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.19, Analysis 2.0. Run: 06/30/2021. Ref #: OACT0615v1 | |||||
NOTES: Start date = 2022.
%ile = percentile.
Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
|
Characteristic | Percent of population with a— |
Percent change in Social Security benefits at the— |
|||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benefit decrease | Benefit increase |
10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | |
Total | 0% | 84% | 0% | 2% | 5% |
Sex | |||||
Female | 0% | 86% | 0% | 2% | 6% |
Male | 0% | 83% | 0% | 2% | 5% |
Race/ethnicity | |||||
Hispanic or Latino, any race | 0% | 80% | 0% | 2% | 5% |
White, non-Hispanic | 0% | 86% | 0% | 3% | 6% |
Black or African American, non-Hispanic | 0% | 84% | 0% | 2% | 5% |
All other races, non-Hispanic | 0% | 85% | 0% | 2% | 5% |
Country of birth | |||||
United States | 0% | 84% | 0% | 2% | 5% |
Other countries | 0% | 84% | 0% | 2% | 5% |
Age | |||||
60–69 | 0% | 46% | 0% | 0% | 2% |
70–79 | 0% | 99% | 1% | 2% | 3% |
80–89 | 0% | 100% | 3% | 4% | 5% |
90 or older | 0% | 100% | 5% | 6% | 8% |
Marital status | |||||
Married | 0% | 82% | 0% | 2% | 5% |
Divorced | 0% | 84% | 0% | 2% | 5% |
Widowed | 0% | 96% | 1% | 4% | 7% |
Never married | 0% | 81% | 0% | 2% | 5% |
Highest education level | |||||
Graduate | 0% | 87% | 0% | 2% | 5% |
Bachelor | 0% | 87% | 0% | 3% | 6% |
Associate | 0% | 83% | 0% | 2% | 5% |
High school | 0% | 83% | 0% | 2% | 5% |
Less than high school | 0% | 79% | 0% | 2% | 5% |
Current-law poverty status | |||||
Above poverty | 0% | 84% | 0% | 2% | 5% |
In poverty | 0% | 80% | 0% | 2% | 6% |
Current-law household income quintile | |||||
Highest | 0% | 85% | 0% | 2% | 5% |
Second highest | 0% | 83% | 0% | 2% | 5% |
Middle | 0% | 82% | 0% | 2% | 5% |
Second lowest | 0% | 87% | 0% | 2% | 6% |
Lowest | 0% | 85% | 0% | 3% | 6% |
Current-law benefit type | |||||
Retired worker only | 0% | 84% | 0% | 2% | 5% |
Widow(er) (includes dually entitled) | 0% | 92% | 1% | 4% | 7% |
Spousal (includes dually entitled) | 0% | 87% | 0% | 2% | 5% |
Disabled worker only | 0% | 62% | 0% | 1% | 4% |
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.19, Analysis 2.0. Run: 06/30/2021. Ref #: OACT0615v1 | |||||
NOTES: Start date = 2022.
%ile = percentile.
Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
|
Characteristic | Percent of population with a— |
Percent change in Social Security taxes paid at the— | Change in taxes paid (in 2021$) at the— |
|||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tax decrease | Tax increase | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | |
Total | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Sex | ||||||||
Female | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Male | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Race/ethnicity | ||||||||
Hispanic or Latino, any race | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
White, non-Hispanic | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Black or African American, non-Hispanic | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
All other races, non-Hispanic | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Country of birth | ||||||||
United States | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Other countries | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Age | ||||||||
31–39 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
40–49 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
50–59 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
60–69 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
70 or older | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Marital status | ||||||||
Married | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Divorced | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Widowed | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Never married | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Highest education level | ||||||||
Graduate | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Bachelor | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Associate | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
High school | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Less than high school | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Current-law household income quintile | ||||||||
Highest | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Second highest | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Middle | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Second lowest | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Lowest | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Current-law payroll taxes quintile | ||||||||
Highest | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Second highest | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Middle | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Second lowest | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Lowest | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.19, Analysis 2.0. Run: 06/30/2021. Ref #: OACT0615v1 | ||||||||
NOTES: Start date = 2022.
%ile = percentile.
Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
|
Characteristic | Percent of population with a— |
Percent change in Social Security taxes paid at the— | Change in taxes paid (in 2021$) at the— |
|||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tax decrease | Tax increase | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | |
Total | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Sex | ||||||||
Female | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Male | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Race/ethnicity | ||||||||
Hispanic or Latino, any race | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
White, non-Hispanic | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Black or African American, non-Hispanic | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
All other races, non-Hispanic | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Country of birth | ||||||||
United States | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Other countries | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Age | ||||||||
31–39 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
40–49 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
50–59 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
60–69 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
70 or older | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Marital status | ||||||||
Married | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Divorced | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Widowed | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Never married | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Highest education level | ||||||||
Graduate | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Bachelor | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Associate | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
High school | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Less than high school | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Current-law household income quintile | ||||||||
Highest | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Second highest | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Middle | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Second lowest | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Lowest | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Current-law payroll taxes quintile | ||||||||
Highest | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Second highest | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Middle | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Second lowest | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Lowest | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.19, Analysis 2.0. Run: 06/30/2021. Ref #: OACT0615v1 | ||||||||
NOTES: Start date = 2022.
%ile = percentile.
Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
|
Characteristic | Percent of population with a— |
Percent change in Social Security taxes paid at the— | Change in taxes paid (in 2021$) at the— |
|||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tax decrease | Tax increase | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | |
Total | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Sex | ||||||||
Female | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Male | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Race/ethnicity | ||||||||
Hispanic or Latino, any race | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
White, non-Hispanic | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Black or African American, non-Hispanic | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
All other races, non-Hispanic | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Country of birth | ||||||||
United States | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Other countries | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Age | ||||||||
31–39 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
40–49 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
50–59 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
60–69 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
70 or older | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Marital status | ||||||||
Married | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Divorced | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Widowed | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Never married | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Highest education level | ||||||||
Graduate | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Bachelor | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Associate | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
High school | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Less than high school | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Current-law household income quintile | ||||||||
Highest | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Second highest | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Middle | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Second lowest | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Lowest | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Current-law payroll taxes quintile | ||||||||
Highest | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Second highest | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Middle | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Second lowest | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Lowest | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | $0 | $0 | $0 |
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.19, Analysis 2.0. Run: 06/30/2021. Ref #: OACT0615v1 | ||||||||
NOTES: Start date = 2022.
%ile = percentile.
Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
|
Characteristic | Percent of population with an— |
Percent change in household income at the— |
|||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income decrease | Income increase | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | |
Total | 0% | 22% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
Sex | |||||
Female | 0% | 24% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
Male | 0% | 19% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
Race/ethnicity | |||||
Hispanic or Latino, any race | 0% | 21% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
White, non-Hispanic | 0% | 21% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
Black or African American, non-Hispanic | 0% | 28% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
All other races, non-Hispanic | 0% | 19% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
Country of birth | |||||
United States | 0% | 22% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
Other countries | 0% | 19% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
Age | |||||
60–69 | 0% | 12% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
70–79 | 0% | 27% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
80–89 | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
90 or older | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
Marital status | |||||
Married | 0% | 16% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
Divorced | 0% | 30% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
Widowed | 0% | 30% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
Never married | 0% | 26% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
Highest education level | |||||
Graduate | 0% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Bachelor | 0% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
Associate | 0% | 22% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
High school | 0% | 28% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
Less than high school | 0% | 30% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
Current-law poverty status | |||||
Above poverty | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
In poverty | 0% | 51% | 0% | 1% | 1% |
Current-law household income quintile | |||||
Highest | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Second highest | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Middle | 0% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Second lowest | 0% | 38% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
Lowest | 0% | 62% | 0% | 1% | 1% |
Current-law benefit type | |||||
Retired worker only | 0% | 19% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
Widow(er) (includes dually entitled) | 0% | 37% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
Spousal (includes dually entitled) | 0% | 16% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
Disabled worker only | 0% | 22% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.19, Analysis 2.0. Run: 06/30/2021. Ref #: OACT0615v1 | |||||
NOTES: Start date = 2022.
%ile = percentile.
Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
|
Characteristic | Percent of population with an— |
Percent change in household income at the— |
|||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income decrease | Income increase | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | |
Total | 0% | 51% | 0% | 1% | 3% |
Sex | |||||
Female | 0% | 55% | 0% | 1% | 3% |
Male | 0% | 45% | 0% | 0% | 2% |
Race/ethnicity | |||||
Hispanic or Latino, any race | 0% | 48% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
White, non-Hispanic | 0% | 51% | 0% | 1% | 3% |
Black or African American, non-Hispanic | 0% | 56% | 0% | 1% | 3% |
All other races, non-Hispanic | 0% | 46% | 0% | 0% | 2% |
Country of birth | |||||
United States | 0% | 51% | 0% | 1% | 3% |
Other countries | 0% | 49% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Age | |||||
60–69 | 0% | 18% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
70–79 | 0% | 53% | 0% | 1% | 2% |
80–89 | 0% | 76% | 0% | 1% | 4% |
90 or older | 0% | 69% | 0% | 1% | 4% |
Marital status | |||||
Married | 0% | 46% | 0% | 0% | 2% |
Divorced | 0% | 52% | 0% | 1% | 3% |
Widowed | 0% | 67% | 0% | 1% | 4% |
Never married | 0% | 41% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Highest education level | |||||
Graduate | 0% | 36% | 0% | 0% | 2% |
Bachelor | 0% | 47% | 0% | 0% | 2% |
Associate | 0% | 54% | 0% | 1% | 3% |
High school | 0% | 57% | 0% | 1% | 3% |
Less than high school | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Current-law poverty status | |||||
Above poverty | 0% | 50% | 0% | 1% | 3% |
In poverty | 0% | 59% | 0% | 1% | 4% |
Current-law household income quintile | |||||
Highest | 0% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Second highest | 0% | 36% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
Middle | 0% | 58% | 0% | 1% | 2% |
Second lowest | 0% | 75% | 0% | 1% | 3% |
Lowest | 0% | 76% | 0% | 2% | 4% |
Current-law benefit type | |||||
Retired worker only | 0% | 47% | 0% | 0% | 2% |
Widow(er) (includes dually entitled) | 0% | 71% | 0% | 1% | 4% |
Spousal (includes dually entitled) | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 2% |
Disabled worker only | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 2% |
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.19, Analysis 2.0. Run: 06/30/2021. Ref #: OACT0615v1 | |||||
NOTES: Start date = 2022.
%ile = percentile.
Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
|
Characteristic | Percent of population with an— |
Percent change in household income at the— |
|||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income decrease | Income increase | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | |
Total | 0% | 53% | 0% | 1% | 3% |
Sex | |||||
Female | 0% | 58% | 0% | 1% | 3% |
Male | 0% | 49% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Race/ethnicity | |||||
Hispanic or Latino, any race | 0% | 53% | 0% | 1% | 3% |
White, non-Hispanic | 0% | 55% | 0% | 1% | 3% |
Black or African American, non-Hispanic | 0% | 56% | 0% | 1% | 3% |
All other races, non-Hispanic | 0% | 44% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Country of birth | |||||
United States | 0% | 54% | 0% | 1% | 3% |
Other countries | 0% | 51% | 0% | 1% | 3% |
Age | |||||
60–69 | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
70–79 | 0% | 56% | 0% | 1% | 2% |
80–89 | 0% | 77% | 0% | 2% | 4% |
90 or older | 0% | 84% | 0% | 2% | 5% |
Marital status | |||||
Married | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Divorced | 0% | 53% | 0% | 1% | 3% |
Widowed | 0% | 73% | 0% | 1% | 4% |
Never married | 0% | 48% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Highest education level | |||||
Graduate | 0% | 45% | 0% | 0% | 2% |
Bachelor | 0% | 49% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Associate | 0% | 58% | 0% | 1% | 3% |
High school | 0% | 58% | 0% | 1% | 3% |
Less than high school | 0% | 54% | 0% | 1% | 3% |
Current-law poverty status | |||||
Above poverty | 0% | 53% | 0% | 1% | 3% |
In poverty | 0% | 59% | 0% | 1% | 5% |
Current-law household income quintile | |||||
Highest | 0% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Second highest | 0% | 38% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
Middle | 0% | 62% | 0% | 1% | 2% |
Second lowest | 0% | 78% | 0% | 2% | 4% |
Lowest | 0% | 79% | 0% | 2% | 5% |
Current-law benefit type | |||||
Retired worker only | 0% | 51% | 0% | 1% | 3% |
Widow(er) (includes dually entitled) | 0% | 73% | 0% | 2% | 5% |
Spousal (includes dually entitled) | 0% | 53% | 0% | 1% | 3% |
Disabled worker only | 0% | 35% | 0% | 0% | 2% |
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.19, Analysis 2.0. Run: 06/30/2021. Ref #: OACT0615v1 | |||||
NOTES: Start date = 2022.
%ile = percentile.
Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
|
Characteristic | Official poverty rate | Number of population in poverty (in thousands) |
Percent change in the number in poverty | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Without proposal | With proposal | Without proposal | With proposal | Change | ||
Total | 5% | 4% | 3,237 | 3,103 | -134 | -4% |
Sex | ||||||
Female | 5% | 4% | 1,787 | 1,705 | -82 | -4% |
Male | 4% | 4% | 1,450 | 1,398 | -51 | -3% |
Race/ethnicity | ||||||
Hispanic or Latino, any race | 7% | 7% | 570 | 535 | -34 | -6% |
White, non-Hispanic | 3% | 3% | 1,804 | 1,731 | -72 | -4% |
Black or African American, non-Hispanic | 9% | 8% | 636 | 615 | -21 | -3% |
All other races, non-Hispanic | 6% | 5% | 228 | 222 | -5 | -2% |
Country of birth | ||||||
United States | 4% | 4% | 2,472 | 2,360 | -112 | -4% |
Other countries | 7% | 7% | 765 | 743 | -21 | -2% |
Age | ||||||
60–69 | 6% | 6% | 1,486 | 1,431 | -54 | -3% |
70–79 | 4% | 4% | 1,318 | 1,263 | -54 | -4% |
80–89 | 3% | 2% | 381 | 356 | -24 | -6% |
90 or older | 2% | 2% | 53 | 53 | 0 | 0% |
Marital status | ||||||
Married | 1% | 1% | 469 | 457 | -12 | -2% |
Divorced | 9% | 9% | 1,207 | 1,146 | -60 | -4% |
Widowed | 6% | 6% | 740 | 706 | -33 | -4% |
Never married | 16% | 16% | 821 | 794 | -27 | -3% |
Highest education level | ||||||
Graduate | 1% | 1% | 97 | 89 | -7 | -8% |
Bachelor | 2% | 2% | 263 | 257 | -5 | -2% |
Associate | 4% | 4% | 626 | 574 | -52 | -8% |
High school | 6% | 6% | 1,534 | 1,492 | -41 | -2% |
Less than high school | 12% | 12% | 717 | 690 | -26 | -3% |
Current-law poverty status | ||||||
Above poverty | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | . . . |
In poverty | 100% | 96% | 3,237 | 3,103 | -134 | -4% |
Current-law benefit type | ||||||
Retired worker only | 4% | 4% | 2,252 | 2,181 | -70 | -3% |
Widow(er) (includes dually entitled) | 5% | 5% | 577 | 541 | -35 | -6% |
Spousal (includes dually entitled) | 2% | 2% | 145 | 141 | -3 | -2% |
Disabled worker only | 10% | 9% | 263 | 239 | -24 | -9% |
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.19, Analysis 2.0. Run: 06/30/2021. Ref #: OACT0615v1 | ||||||
NOTES: Start date = 2022.
. . . = not applicable.
Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
|
Characteristic | Official poverty rate | Number of population in poverty (in thousands) |
Percent change in the number in poverty | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Without proposal | With proposal | Without proposal | With proposal | Change | ||
Total | 4% | 4% | 3,309 | 3,012 | -297 | -8% |
Sex | ||||||
Female | 4% | 4% | 1,862 | 1,708 | -154 | -8% |
Male | 4% | 3% | 1,447 | 1,304 | -143 | -9% |
Race/ethnicity | ||||||
Hispanic or Latino, any race | 6% | 5% | 897 | 836 | -60 | -6% |
White, non-Hispanic | 3% | 3% | 1,472 | 1,327 | -145 | -9% |
Black or African American, non-Hispanic | 8% | 7% | 679 | 618 | -60 | -8% |
All other races, non-Hispanic | 4% | 4% | 261 | 231 | -30 | -11% |
Country of birth | ||||||
United States | 4% | 3% | 2,260 | 2,034 | -226 | -10% |
Other countries | 6% | 5% | 1,048 | 978 | -70 | -6% |
Age | ||||||
60–69 | 5% | 5% | 1,277 | 1,231 | -45 | -3% |
70–79 | 4% | 3% | 1,105 | 1,002 | -103 | -9% |
80–89 | 3% | 3% | 734 | 633 | -101 | -13% |
90 or older | 3% | 2% | 193 | 147 | -46 | -24% |
Marital status | ||||||
Married | 1% | 1% | 457 | 433 | -23 | -5% |
Divorced | 6% | 6% | 948 | 853 | -95 | -10% |
Widowed | 5% | 4% | 750 | 662 | -88 | -11% |
Never married | 12% | 11% | 1,154 | 1,064 | -89 | -7% |
Highest education level | ||||||
Graduate | 1% | 1% | 91 | 75 | -15 | -16% |
Bachelor | 2% | 1% | 280 | 248 | -31 | -11% |
Associate | 3% | 3% | 555 | 501 | -53 | -9% |
High school | 6% | 5% | 1,549 | 1,403 | -146 | -9% |
Less than high school | 11% | 10% | 834 | 785 | -49 | -5% |
Current-law poverty status | ||||||
Above poverty | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | . . . |
In poverty | 100% | 91% | 3,309 | 3,012 | -297 | -8% |
Current-law benefit type | ||||||
Retired worker only | 4% | 4% | 2,500 | 2,295 | -205 | -8% |
Widow(er) (includes dually entitled) | 4% | 3% | 498 | 424 | -73 | -14% |
Spousal (includes dually entitled) | 1% | 1% | 99 | 94 | -4 | -4% |
Disabled worker only | 6% | 6% | 212 | 198 | -13 | -6% |
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.19, Analysis 2.0. Run: 06/30/2021. Ref #: OACT0615v1 | ||||||
NOTES: Start date = 2022.
. . . = not applicable.
Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
|
Characteristic | Official poverty rate | Number of population in poverty (in thousands) |
Percent change in the number in poverty | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Without proposal | With proposal | Without proposal | With proposal | Change | ||
Total | 3% | 2% | 2,425 | 2,231 | -193 | -7% |
Sex | ||||||
Female | 3% | 2% | 1,304 | 1,200 | -103 | -7% |
Male | 2% | 2% | 1,121 | 1,031 | -89 | -7% |
Race/ethnicity | ||||||
Hispanic or Latino, any race | 3% | 3% | 769 | 707 | -61 | -8% |
White, non-Hispanic | 2% | 2% | 1,009 | 932 | -77 | -7% |
Black or African American, non-Hispanic | 4% | 4% | 392 | 362 | -30 | -7% |
All other races, non-Hispanic | 3% | 3% | 254 | 230 | -23 | -9% |
Country of birth | ||||||
United States | 2% | 2% | 1,586 | 1,450 | -136 | -8% |
Other countries | 4% | 4% | 839 | 782 | -56 | -6% |
Age | ||||||
60–69 | 3% | 3% | 795 | 762 | -32 | -4% |
70–79 | 3% | 2% | 906 | 832 | -73 | -8% |
80–89 | 3% | 2% | 585 | 532 | -53 | -9% |
90 or older | 2% | 1% | 139 | 106 | -33 | -23% |
Marital status | ||||||
Married | 1% | 1% | 292 | 269 | -23 | -8% |
Divorced | 3% | 3% | 613 | 568 | -45 | -7% |
Widowed | 3% | 3% | 473 | 431 | -42 | -8% |
Never married | 6% | 6% | 1,046 | 964 | -81 | -7% |
Highest education level | ||||||
Graduate | 1% | 1% | 156 | 150 | -5 | -3% |
Bachelor | 1% | 1% | 218 | 192 | -26 | -12% |
Associate | 2% | 2% | 405 | 368 | -37 | -9% |
High school | 4% | 3% | 1,033 | 947 | -86 | -8% |
Less than high school | 6% | 6% | 613 | 575 | -38 | -6% |
Current-law poverty status | ||||||
Above poverty | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | . . . |
In poverty | 100% | 92% | 2,425 | 2,231 | -193 | -7% |
Current-law benefit type | ||||||
Retired worker only | 3% | 3% | 1,958 | 1,829 | -129 | -6% |
Widow(er) (includes dually entitled) | 2% | 2% | 321 | 273 | -47 | -14% |
Spousal (includes dually entitled) | 1% | 1% | 41 | 40 | 0 | -2% |
Disabled worker only | 3% | 2% | 105 | 89 | -15 | -15% |
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.19, Analysis 2.0. Run: 06/30/2021. Ref #: OACT0615v1 | ||||||
NOTES: Start date = 2022.
. . . = not applicable.
Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
|
Characteristic | Percent of population with a— |
Percent change in benefit/tax ratio at the— | Benefit/tax ratio without proposal at the— |
Benefit/tax ratio with proposal at the— |
|||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ratio decrease | Ratio increase | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | |
Total | 0% | 75% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 127% | 397% | 5% | 130% | 407% |
Sex | |||||||||||
Female | 0% | 79% | 0% | 2% | 4% | 23% | 159% | 562% | 23% | 164% | 575% |
Male | 0% | 72% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 105% | 239% | 0% | 107% | 244% |
Race/ethnicity | |||||||||||
Hispanic or Latino, any race | 0% | 73% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 141% | 506% | 0% | 144% | 520% |
White, non-Hispanic | 0% | 78% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 14% | 122% | 359% | 14% | 126% | 370% |
Black or African American, non-Hispanic | 0% | 66% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 131% | 410% | 0% | 134% | 415% |
All other races, non-Hispanic | 0% | 74% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 132% | 493% | 0% | 135% | 502% |
Country of birth | |||||||||||
United States | 0% | 76% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 12% | 123% | 363% | 12% | 126% | 374% |
Other countries | 0% | 74% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 144% | 525% | 0% | 148% | 538% |
Highest education level | |||||||||||
Graduate | 0% | 88% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 24% | 113% | 245% | 24% | 116% | 251% |
Bachelor | 0% | 85% | 0% | 2% | 4% | 25% | 120% | 324% | 25% | 123% | 334% |
Associate | 0% | 76% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 16% | 127% | 340% | 16% | 131% | 350% |
High school | 0% | 71% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 133% | 475% | 0% | 136% | 483% |
Less than high school | 0% | 60% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 141% | 718% | 0% | 143% | 726% |
Current-law initial AIME quintile | |||||||||||
Highest | 0% | 91% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 36% | 93% | 136% | 36% | 96% | 141% |
Second highest | 0% | 84% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 21% | 118% | 175% | 21% | 121% | 181% |
Middle | 0% | 76% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 10% | 140% | 234% | 10% | 143% | 241% |
Second lowest | 0% | 69% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 23% | 205% | 444% | 23% | 210% | 456% |
Lowest | 0% | 57% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 228% | 1,369% | 0% | 233% | 1,402% |
Lifetime payroll tax quintile | |||||||||||
Highest | 0% | 93% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 40% | 94% | 134% | 41% | 96% | 139% |
Second highest | 0% | 84% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 23% | 118% | 173% | 23% | 121% | 179% |
Middle | 0% | 77% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 16% | 141% | 235% | 16% | 144% | 242% |
Second lowest | 0% | 70% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 18% | 193% | 403% | 18% | 197% | 412% |
Lowest | 0% | 53% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 270% | 1,384% | 0% | 275% | 1,423% |
Lifetime payroll tax quintile (shared) | |||||||||||
Highest | 0% | 94% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 47% | 101% | 169% | 48% | 104% | 175% |
Second highest | 0% | 86% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 33% | 118% | 237% | 33% | 122% | 245% |
Middle | 0% | 78% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 15% | 136% | 314% | 15% | 139% | 325% |
Second lowest | 0% | 70% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 9% | 165% | 490% | 9% | 169% | 501% |
Lowest | 0% | 49% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 183% | 1,028% | 0% | 186% | 1,029% |
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.19, Analysis 2.0. Run: 06/30/2021. Ref #: OACT0615v1 | |||||||||||
NOTES: Start date = 2022.
AIME = average indexed monthly earnings; %ile = percentile.
Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
|
Characteristic | Percent of population with a— |
Percent change in benefit/tax ratio at the— | Benefit/tax ratio without proposal at the— |
Benefit/tax ratio with proposal at the— |
|||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ratio decrease | Ratio increase | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | |
Total | 0% | 77% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 119% | 375% | 0% | 122% | 386% |
Sex | |||||||||||
Female | 0% | 80% | 0% | 2% | 4% | 0% | 143% | 532% | 0% | 147% | 546% |
Male | 0% | 74% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 101% | 258% | 0% | 104% | 265% |
Race/ethnicity | |||||||||||
Hispanic or Latino, any race | 0% | 72% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 128% | 410% | 0% | 131% | 423% |
White, non-Hispanic | 0% | 82% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 14% | 118% | 372% | 14% | 121% | 383% |
Black or African American, non-Hispanic | 0% | 68% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 111% | 323% | 0% | 114% | 334% |
All other races, non-Hispanic | 0% | 72% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 0% | 106% | 410% | 0% | 109% | 427% |
Country of birth | |||||||||||
United States | 0% | 80% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 118% | 342% | 8% | 121% | 353% |
Other countries | 0% | 68% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 121% | 521% | 0% | 124% | 539% |
Highest education level | |||||||||||
Graduate | 0% | 86% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 21% | 105% | 271% | 21% | 108% | 281% |
Bachelor | 0% | 82% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 107% | 291% | 5% | 111% | 301% |
Associate | 0% | 78% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 120% | 329% | 0% | 123% | 340% |
High school | 0% | 74% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 130% | 483% | 0% | 133% | 498% |
Less than high school | 0% | 65% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 126% | 612% | 0% | 129% | 628% |
Current-law initial AIME quintile | |||||||||||
Highest | 0% | 92% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 37% | 87% | 124% | 38% | 90% | 128% |
Second highest | 0% | 87% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 34% | 117% | 176% | 35% | 120% | 182% |
Middle | 0% | 80% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 28% | 145% | 258% | 28% | 148% | 265% |
Second lowest | 0% | 75% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 204% | 522% | 0% | 209% | 538% |
Lowest | 0% | 52% | 0% | 2% | 4% | 0% | 122% | 1,803% | 0% | 125% | 1,866% |
Lifetime payroll tax quintile | |||||||||||
Highest | 0% | 93% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 40% | 88% | 125% | 40% | 90% | 129% |
Second highest | 0% | 87% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 36% | 117% | 178% | 37% | 120% | 185% |
Middle | 0% | 81% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 29% | 144% | 261% | 29% | 148% | 269% |
Second lowest | 0% | 76% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 197% | 467% | 0% | 202% | 481% |
Lowest | 0% | 48% | 0% | 2% | 4% | 0% | 121% | 1,917% | 0% | 122% | 1,970% |
Lifetime payroll tax quintile (shared) | |||||||||||
Highest | 0% | 93% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 42% | 90% | 149% | 43% | 93% | 154% |
Second highest | 0% | 89% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 43% | 119% | 247% | 43% | 123% | 255% |
Middle | 0% | 82% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 31% | 139% | 330% | 32% | 143% | 340% |
Second lowest | 0% | 76% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 176% | 565% | 7% | 180% | 578% |
Lowest | 0% | 44% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 66% | 922% | 0% | 67% | 940% |
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.19, Analysis 2.0. Run: 06/30/2021. Ref #: OACT0615v1 | |||||||||||
NOTES: Start date = 2022.
AIME = average indexed monthly earnings; %ile = percentile.
Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
|
Characteristic | Percent of population with a— |
Percent change in benefit/tax ratio at the— | Benefit/tax ratio without proposal at the— |
Benefit/tax ratio with proposal at the— |
|||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ratio decrease | Ratio increase | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | |
Total | 0% | 79% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 116% | 343% | 0% | 119% | 355% |
Sex | |||||||||||
Female | 0% | 82% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 0% | 137% | 486% | 0% | 141% | 503% |
Male | 0% | 76% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 99% | 245% | 0% | 101% | 251% |
Race/ethnicity | |||||||||||
Hispanic or Latino, any race | 0% | 75% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 124% | 369% | 0% | 127% | 384% |
White, non-Hispanic | 0% | 83% | 0% | 2% | 4% | 17% | 115% | 338% | 17% | 118% | 348% |
Black or African American, non-Hispanic | 0% | 72% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 112% | 306% | 0% | 115% | 315% |
All other races, non-Hispanic | 0% | 76% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 0% | 100% | 327% | 0% | 103% | 338% |
Country of birth | |||||||||||
United States | 0% | 82% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 11% | 116% | 318% | 11% | 119% | 328% |
Other countries | 0% | 71% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 0% | 116% | 475% | 0% | 119% | 491% |
Highest education level | |||||||||||
Graduate | 0% | 87% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 25% | 106% | 255% | 26% | 109% | 264% |
Bachelor | 0% | 84% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 103% | 272% | 8% | 106% | 281% |
Associate | 0% | 79% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 118% | 309% | 0% | 121% | 318% |
High school | 0% | 76% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 124% | 413% | 0% | 127% | 426% |
Less than high school | 0% | 69% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 127% | 547% | 0% | 130% | 562% |
Current-law initial AIME quintile | |||||||||||
Highest | 0% | 93% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 39% | 85% | 121% | 39% | 87% | 125% |
Second highest | 0% | 88% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 40% | 114% | 170% | 41% | 118% | 176% |
Middle | 0% | 82% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 29% | 138% | 246% | 29% | 142% | 253% |
Second lowest | 0% | 76% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 11% | 189% | 452% | 11% | 193% | 467% |
Lowest | 0% | 54% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 0% | 128% | 1,529% | 0% | 131% | 1,596% |
Lifetime payroll tax quintile | |||||||||||
Highest | 0% | 94% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 41% | 85% | 121% | 42% | 88% | 125% |
Second highest | 0% | 89% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 41% | 116% | 173% | 42% | 119% | 179% |
Middle | 0% | 83% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 31% | 139% | 254% | 32% | 143% | 261% |
Second lowest | 0% | 77% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 183% | 414% | 14% | 188% | 427% |
Lowest | 0% | 51% | 0% | 2% | 4% | 0% | 126% | 1,578% | 0% | 128% | 1,632% |
Lifetime payroll tax quintile (shared) | |||||||||||
Highest | 0% | 95% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 44% | 87% | 139% | 45% | 90% | 143% |
Second highest | 0% | 90% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 45% | 117% | 231% | 46% | 120% | 239% |
Middle | 0% | 84% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 34% | 136% | 307% | 34% | 139% | 315% |
Second lowest | 0% | 77% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 12% | 167% | 512% | 12% | 171% | 528% |
Lowest | 0% | 48% | 0% | 2% | 4% | 0% | 89% | 792% | 0% | 90% | 813% |
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.19, Analysis 2.0. Run: 06/30/2021. Ref #: OACT0615v1 | |||||||||||
NOTES: Start date = 2022.
AIME = average indexed monthly earnings; %ile = percentile.
Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
|
Characteristic | Percent of population with a— |
Percent change in initial replacement rate at the— | Initial replacement rate without proposal at the— |
Initial replacement rate with proposal at the— |
|||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rate decrease | Rate increase | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | |
Total | 0% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 24% | 46% | 79% | 24% | 46% | 80% |
Sex | |||||||||||
Female | 0% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 28% | 51% | 90% | 28% | 51% | 90% |
Male | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 22% | 42% | 66% | 22% | 42% | 66% |
Race/ethnicity | |||||||||||
Hispanic or Latino, any race | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 28% | 50% | 84% | 28% | 50% | 85% |
White, non-Hispanic | 0% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 23% | 43% | 74% | 23% | 44% | 75% |
Black or African American, non-Hispanic | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 28% | 51% | 85% | 28% | 51% | 85% |
All other races, non-Hispanic | 0% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 24% | 48% | 90% | 24% | 48% | 90% |
Country of birth | |||||||||||
United States | 0% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 23% | 44% | 75% | 23% | 44% | 76% |
Other countries | 0% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 28% | 53% | 90% | 28% | 53% | 90% |
Highest education level | |||||||||||
Graduate | 0% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 21% | 41% | 71% | 21% | 41% | 72% |
Bachelor | 0% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 22% | 42% | 77% | 22% | 42% | 77% |
Associate | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 24% | 45% | 74% | 24% | 45% | 74% |
High school | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 27% | 48% | 81% | 27% | 48% | 82% |
Less than high school | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 56% | 90% | 33% | 56% | 90% |
Current-law initial AIME quintile | |||||||||||
Highest | 0% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% | 31% | 47% | 17% | 31% | 48% |
Second highest | 0% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 24% | 38% | 56% | 25% | 38% | 56% |
Middle | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 29% | 43% | 63% | 29% | 43% | 63% |
Second lowest | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 38% | 51% | 77% | 38% | 51% | 78% |
Lowest | 0% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 53% | 70% | 119% | 53% | 70% | 120% |
Lifetime payroll tax quintile | |||||||||||
Highest | 0% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 16% | 33% | 50% | 17% | 33% | 51% |
Second highest | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 23% | 37% | 57% | 23% | 37% | 57% |
Middle | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 31% | 43% | 63% | 31% | 43% | 64% |
Second lowest | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 37% | 50% | 78% | 37% | 51% | 78% |
Lowest | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 52% | 68% | 113% | 52% | 68% | 115% |
Lifetime payroll tax quintile (shared) | |||||||||||
Highest | 0% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 18% | 36% | 53% | 18% | 36% | 54% |
Second highest | 0% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 22% | 38% | 62% | 22% | 38% | 63% |
Middle | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 28% | 43% | 69% | 28% | 43% | 69% |
Second lowest | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 82% | 33% | 50% | 83% |
Lowest | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 46% | 63% | 92% | 46% | 63% | 92% |
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.19, Analysis 2.0. Run: 06/30/2021. Ref #: OACT0615v1 | |||||||||||
NOTES: Start date = 2022.
AIME = average indexed monthly earnings; %ile = percentile.
Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
|
Characteristic | Percent of population with a— |
Percent change in initial replacement rate at the— | Initial replacement rate without proposal at the— |
Initial replacement rate with proposal at the— |
|||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rate decrease | Rate increase | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | |
Total | 0% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 24% | 47% | 85% | 24% | 47% | 85% |
Sex | |||||||||||
Female | 0% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 27% | 53% | 90% | 27% | 53% | 90% |
Male | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 22% | 43% | 73% | 22% | 43% | 73% |
Race/ethnicity | |||||||||||
Hispanic or Latino, any race | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 28% | 51% | 90% | 28% | 52% | 90% |
White, non-Hispanic | 0% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 23% | 45% | 81% | 23% | 45% | 82% |
Black or African American, non-Hispanic | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 26% | 51% | 83% | 26% | 51% | 83% |
All other races, non-Hispanic | 0% | 12% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 22% | 46% | 90% | 22% | 46% | 90% |
Country of birth | |||||||||||
United States | 0% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 23% | 46% | 81% | 23% | 46% | 81% |
Other countries | 0% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 27% | 54% | 90% | 27% | 54% | 90% |
Highest education level | |||||||||||
Graduate | 0% | 12% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 21% | 42% | 75% | 21% | 42% | 75% |
Bachelor | 0% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 21% | 43% | 82% | 21% | 43% | 83% |
Associate | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 24% | 45% | 76% | 24% | 46% | 76% |
High school | 0% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 28% | 51% | 89% | 28% | 51% | 89% |
Less than high school | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 31% | 57% | 90% | 31% | 57% | 90% |
Current-law initial AIME quintile | |||||||||||
Highest | 0% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 16% | 31% | 46% | 17% | 31% | 47% |
Second highest | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 23% | 38% | 56% | 23% | 38% | 57% |
Middle | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 29% | 45% | 65% | 29% | 45% | 65% |
Second lowest | 0% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 41% | 55% | 84% | 41% | 55% | 85% |
Lowest | 0% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 58% | 74% | 135% | 58% | 74% | 136% |
Lifetime payroll tax quintile | |||||||||||
Highest | 0% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 16% | 33% | 49% | 16% | 34% | 50% |
Second highest | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 22% | 37% | 58% | 22% | 37% | 58% |
Middle | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 30% | 45% | 66% | 30% | 45% | 67% |
Second lowest | 0% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 39% | 54% | 85% | 39% | 54% | 86% |
Lowest | 0% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 57% | 73% | 127% | 57% | 73% | 129% |
Lifetime payroll tax quintile (shared) | |||||||||||
Highest | 0% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% | 35% | 52% | 17% | 35% | 52% |
Second highest | 0% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 21% | 39% | 62% | 21% | 39% | 63% |
Middle | 0% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 27% | 44% | 73% | 27% | 44% | 73% |
Second lowest | 0% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 35% | 53% | 88% | 35% | 53% | 89% |
Lowest | 0% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 67% | 108% | 51% | 67% | 109% |
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.19, Analysis 2.0. Run: 06/30/2021. Ref #: OACT0615v1 | |||||||||||
NOTES: Start date = 2022.
AIME = average indexed monthly earnings; %ile = percentile.
Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
|
Characteristic | Percent of population with a— |
Percent change in initial replacement rate at the— | Initial replacement rate without proposal at the— |
Initial replacement rate with proposal at the— |
|||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rate decrease | Rate increase | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | 10th %ile | Median | 90th %ile | |
Total | 0% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 24% | 48% | 84% | 24% | 48% | 85% |
Sex | |||||||||||
Female | 0% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 28% | 52% | 90% | 28% | 53% | 90% |
Male | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 22% | 44% | 73% | 22% | 44% | 74% |
Race/ethnicity | |||||||||||
Hispanic or Latino, any race | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 27% | 50% | 88% | 27% | 50% | 89% |
White, non-Hispanic | 0% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 23% | 46% | 81% | 23% | 46% | 82% |
Black or African American, non-Hispanic | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 26% | 52% | 84% | 26% | 52% | 84% |
All other races, non-Hispanic | 0% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 22% | 45% | 84% | 22% | 45% | 85% |
Country of birth | |||||||||||
United States | 0% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 23% | 47% | 81% | 23% | 47% | 82% |
Other countries | 0% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 26% | 51% | 90% | 27% | 52% | 90% |
Highest education level | |||||||||||
Graduate | 0% | 12% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 21% | 43% | 80% | 21% | 43% | 81% |
Bachelor | 0% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 21% | 42% | 79% | 21% | 42% | 80% |
Associate | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 47% | 77% | 25% | 47% | 78% |
High school | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 28% | 50% | 88% | 28% | 50% | 88% |
Less than high school | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 31% | 57% | 90% | 31% | 57% | 90% |
Current-law initial AIME quintile | |||||||||||
Highest | 0% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 16% | 31% | 47% | 16% | 31% | 47% |
Second highest | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 24% | 39% | 57% | 24% | 40% | 57% |
Middle | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 31% | 45% | 65% | 31% | 45% | 66% |
Second lowest | 0% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 41% | 55% | 84% | 41% | 55% | 85% |
Lowest | 0% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 58% | 74% | 128% | 58% | 74% | 130% |
Lifetime payroll tax quintile | |||||||||||
Highest | 0% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 16% | 33% | 49% | 16% | 33% | 50% |
Second highest | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 23% | 39% | 58% | 23% | 39% | 59% |
Middle | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 31% | 45% | 66% | 31% | 45% | 67% |
Second lowest | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 40% | 54% | 83% | 40% | 54% | 84% |
Lowest | 0% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 57% | 73% | 122% | 57% | 73% | 123% |
Lifetime payroll tax quintile (shared) | |||||||||||
Highest | 0% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 16% | 35% | 51% | 16% | 35% | 52% |
Second highest | 0% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 22% | 40% | 63% | 22% | 40% | 64% |
Middle | 0% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 29% | 45% | 72% | 29% | 45% | 73% |
Second lowest | 0% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 37% | 53% | 88% | 37% | 53% | 89% |
Lowest | 0% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 67% | 102% | 50% | 67% | 103% |
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.19, Analysis 2.0. Run: 06/30/2021. Ref #: OACT0615v1 | |||||||||||
NOTES: Start date = 2022.
AIME = average indexed monthly earnings; %ile = percentile.
Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
|
For projected effects on the Social Security trust funds, see the Actuary's provision A6.